Ategrity Specialty Insurance Stock Performance

ASIC Stock  USD 18.18  0.37  2.08%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ategrity Specialty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ategrity Specialty is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ategrity Specialty has a negative expected return of -0.0311%. Please make sure to confirm Ategrity Specialty's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and accumulation distribution , to decide if Ategrity Specialty performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ategrity Specialty Insurance has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound forward indicators, Ategrity Specialty is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.08
Five Day Return
4.78
Year To Date Return
(9.82)
Ten Year Return
(26.34)
All Time Return
(26.34)
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Begin Period Cash Flow264.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-363.3 M
Free Cash Flow125.6 M

Ategrity Specialty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,878  in Ategrity Specialty Insurance on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (60.00) from holding Ategrity Specialty Insurance or give up 3.19% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ategrity Specialty Insurance is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.1209% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Ategrity, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ategrity Specialty is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of volatility.

Ategrity Specialty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ategrity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.18 90 days 18.18 
about 76.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ategrity Specialty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.87 (This Ategrity Specialty Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Ategrity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ategrity Specialty has a beta of 0.54. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ategrity Specialty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ategrity Specialty Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ategrity Specialty Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ategrity Specialty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ategrity Specialty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ategrity Specialty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0618.1820.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6418.7620.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.4219.5421.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.5418.6820.82
Details

Ategrity Specialty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ategrity Specialty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ategrity Specialty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ategrity Specialty Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ategrity Specialty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Ategrity Specialty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ategrity Specialty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ategrity Specialty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ategrity Specialty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ategrity Specialty Insurance currently holds 1.99 M in liabilities. Ategrity Specialty has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ategrity Specialty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Broadcom Deepens AI Role With OpenAI Deal And Hyperscaler ASIC Focus

Ategrity Specialty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ategrity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ategrity Specialty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ategrity Specialty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.5 M
Dividends Paid414 K
Cash And Short Term Investments517.9 M

Ategrity Specialty Fundamentals Growth

Ategrity Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ategrity Specialty, and Ategrity Specialty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ategrity Stock performance.

About Ategrity Specialty Performance

By analyzing Ategrity Specialty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ategrity Specialty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ategrity Specialty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ategrity Specialty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.06 

Things to note about Ategrity Specialty performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ategrity Specialty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ategrity Specialty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ategrity Specialty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ategrity Specialty Insurance currently holds 1.99 M in liabilities. Ategrity Specialty has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ategrity Specialty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Broadcom Deepens AI Role With OpenAI Deal And Hyperscaler ASIC Focus
Evaluating Ategrity Specialty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ategrity Specialty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ategrity Specialty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ategrity Specialty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ategrity Specialty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ategrity Specialty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ategrity Specialty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ategrity Specialty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ategrity Specialty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ategrity Specialty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ategrity Specialty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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